Exploring the outflow of population from poor areas and its main influencing factors
文章来源：信息中心 | 发布时间：2022-07-01
文章来源：信息中心 | 发布时间：2022-07-01 | 【打印】 【关闭】
Exploring the outflow of population from poor areas and its main influencing factors
Yifan Wu Yang Zhou Yansui Liu
Population outflow, one of the essential causes of rural decline, increasingly weakens and hollows rural main bodies, which is particularly detrimental for poor areas. Although a plethora of scholars have focused on the characteristics and driving mechanisms of this form of migration in macro-scale research, few studies have closely addressed the outflow process and determinants of the floating populations from rural impoverished areas. This study investigated Fuping County, which is one of the national designated poverty-stricken counties in China, as a typical study case. Using first-hand data, obtained from questionnaire surveys, together with an ordinal logistic regression model, the results showed that in poor areas, outflow working helps to increase the income of job-seekers 1.37 times; however, in turn, this causes demographic-structural imbalances of the rural population. Household ties and basic living conditions can restrain a certain number of rural labors from migrating into urban regions, even though a spatial mismatch exists between high-income demands and high-income opportunities. The quantity of the floating population shows a typical U-shaped trend with the expansion of the flow range, and, because of the “agglomeration shadow” effect, urban regions within the province (17.67%) are less attractive than metropolises outside the province (19.67%). The promotion of a rural revitalization strategy urgently needs to retain the outflowing populations and stimulate the vitality of rural areas; thus, this study calls for a more targeted policy design, considering the employment preference and actual demands of the rural to urban floating population.
